The Russian flotilla bound for Syria is armed far beyond what Peter the Great envisioned when he created a Navy, the port of St Petersburg and inadvertently, the Russian flag, which is literally a variation of the Dutch flag.
The news on the Russian sailors comes a far second to the American election, but they have one thing in common – denial. Bill and Hillary have been denying accusations since they were married in 1975 and “they” were elected as the Attorney General of Arkansas in 1976 when Bill was 30 years old. Since then it was murder? No way. Drug running? Impossible. Rape? They’re lying. Having an affair with Jennifer Flowers? Uh uh. Having sex with that woman? I did not. Calling black people the N word? Disgusting. Turning over hundreds of thousands of emails? Whoops. Funding ISIS? Conspiracy theory. And the crimes and denials will go on until they have no power to commit crimes and, therefore, no reason to deny.
The military is a bit different. We see the valor in their denials because a predictable unit is a dead unit. The great military philosophers Sun Tsu, Von Clauswitz and even the bible have written about not declaring a military intention – By deception, thou shalt do war.
Putin is well aware of history and military philosophy. He has sent a naval unit that could wipe out most of the nations on earth all by itself, but this outfit is about technology, not firepower. Yes, there’s little doubt it has its state of the art, opposing aircraft carrier destroying cruise missiles. It has certainly brought along two Akula class nuclear powered, and a Kilo class diesel submarine to troll the Mediterranean. Russia has denied this. As the U.S. navy cruises the Black Sea, the Russians will cruise the Mediterranean. No navy in history has confined itself to its own waters. Xerxes of Persia patrolled the same waters Putin is headed for, but Xerxes wasn’t legally invited by Sparta in the way Syria has invited Putin and Xerxes didn’t give a rat’s ass about the rule of law anymore than the Clintons care about the morality of funding ISIS for their own invasion force.
Back in the days of slavery, naked aggression by those in power was overt. No slave ever questioned the master on the legitimacy of his force. The boss was never asked anything that he would have to deny because of some moral imperative. Every Clinton supporter sees that the moral imperative is gone. They don’t care. They will do all they can to empower her anyway. “Just deny, deny, deny and we’ll do what we can,” says the fake news channels, whose own liars deny that their ratings demonstrate that there is no reason for an advertiser to waste money sponsoring a show that no one watches. Without government money, and Clinton, CNN would be off the air. You don’t refuse a golden egg because the goose who laid it killed all the other geese.
Back to the fleet! The Russian flotilla is en route from the arctic to the desert for a few reasons. Things are going to intensify in Aleppo Syria. If you’re Gary Johnson, it’s a city south of Turkey. The Assad government has found itself in a stalemate with the Clinton ISIS militants. The addition of several thousand Chinese special forces troops backing Assad screams “there’s no way in hell ISIS gets Aleppo.” Now that’s clear, let’s send the matter over to the ways and means committee – “Go Navy.”
You don’t plan wars, you plan logistics. An army has multi-faceted needs, but its paramount foundation is communications. I’ve been caught in the comm-challenged countryside of Bosnia without comms and I can tell you that it can be very lonely. Without comms, the boss doesn’t know if you’re bored or terrified, whether you’re starving or fat, whether you have ammo and fuel or how many of your friends are dead, and most importantly, whether you are getting the job done or not, or what’s stopping you. This knowledge enables your General to move you around like the pawn you are, on a chess board.
All this leads to my point that, although the Russian fleet can wipe Syria off the map, it won’t. The reason is based on the history of Putin. He is a finesse guy. He prefers to let the idiots fuck themselves up, rather than to do it himself. It’s thoughtful and more than a bit classy. Putin is about to give the rope to ISIS and let them hang themselves. He’ll do this by conducting area denial operations. He will jam ISIS comms back to the stone age, which is to say 1970s Afghanistan before they were born as Al Qaeda.
There will be no resupplies. Area denial also means no fly, no drive, no bullets, no bombs, no food, no letters to the editor and no more help from Billary. They’ve been booted by Trump. It’s over. If by some miracle, ISIS can escape their encircled cauldron, they could flee north to the Kurds, whoops, west to Hezbollah, son-of-a...or they could flee east and possibly face the Chinese special forces. They will find themselves in a position of praying for the mean bombs and bullets that have been denied to them like a ration of quick death and certainty.
The innocent human shields may starve to death, but they won’t be killed by Russian bombs. Eventually, their ISIS captors will be too weak to prey on them.
Aleppo will be Stalingrad in the desert and it will be won mostly by the absence of force. Putin the grand master, the new Desert Fox, will show that alienating and isolating a hostile deadly force is better than serving it blunt force trauma. It is still ugly. It is still a catastrophe, but like so many other Putin decisions, it is the best under the circumstances.
Dennis has been to 35 countries and carried a gun in most of them. He's worked as a soldier, policeman and intelligence operator before and during the Bosnian war. When looking into the abyss, he found that it has several faces and names that can and should be identified. A Henchman's Honor tells the story of his path to discovery and blows the lid off the organization of evil.